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摘要 / Abstract
This paper addresses critical challenges in autonomous driving trajectory prediction where minor initial deviations in open-loop models cascade into compounding errors, leading to out-of-distribution states. The authors identify a shortcut learning problem in differentiable closed-loop simulators where gradients inadvertently leak future ground truth information into previous predictions, causing non-causal regret instead of genuine recovery. To solve this, they propose a detached receding horizon rollout that severs computation graphs between simulation steps, forcing the model to learn authentic reactive recovery behaviors from drifted states. Comprehensive evaluations on the nuScenes and DeepScenario autonomous driving datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of their approach in achieving genuine trajectory rectification without temporal information leakage.
本文针对自动驾驶轨迹预测中的关键挑战展开研究,指出开环模型中的微小初始偏差会级联为累积误差,最终导致分布外状态的出现。作者发现可微分闭环仿真器存在捷径学习问题,梯度无意中将未来真值信息泄露至先前预测,导致非因果的后悔而非真正的恢复。为此,他们提出一种分离式滚动时域展开方法,通过切断仿真步骤间的计算图,迫使模型从漂移状态中学习真实的反应性恢复行为。在nuScenes和DeepScenario自动驾驶数据集上的综合评估验证了该方法能够实现真正的轨迹修正且无时间信息泄露。
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